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Spanish general election: margin of victory

Openone winner

On Nov 29, 2026

Selected outcome

PSOE, ≥3%

2%

PSOE, ≥3% · 2%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Nov 29, 2027 ET
Resolution source
Ministerio del Interior (opens in a new tab)

Price

Loading price history.

Markets

  • People's Party, 0-3%

    Will the margin of victory for the People's Party in the 2026 Spanish general election be between 0% and 3%?

    14%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$165 vol

    Bid 14¢ · Ask 15¢

    Open full market view →
  • People's Party, 9-12%

    Will the margin of victory for the People's Party in the 2026 Spanish general election be between 9% and 12%?

    9%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$66 vol

    Bid 6¢ · Ask 12¢

    Open full market view →
  • People's Party, ≥12%

    Will the margin of victory for the People's Party in the 2026 Spanish general election be at least 12%?

    2%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$38 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢

    Open full market view →
  • People's Party, 3-6%

    Will the margin of victory for the People's Party in the 2026 Spanish general election be between 3% and 6%?

    25%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$163 vol

    Bid 24¢ · Ask 25¢

    Open full market view →
  • People's Party, 6-9%

    Will the margin of victory for the People's Party in the 2026 Spanish general election be between 6% and 9%?

    23%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$155 vol

    Bid 22¢ · Ask 23¢

    Open full market view →
  • PSOE, 0-3%

    Will the margin of victory for PSOE in the 2026 Spanish general election be between 0% and 3%?

    5%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$51 vol

    Bid 4¢ · Ask 5¢

    Open full market view →
  • PSOE, ≥3%

    Will the margin of victory for PSOE in the 2026 Spanish general election be at least 3%?

    2%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$19 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$0
Volume
~$656
Liquidity
—
Open int.
2,505 contracts

How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end
Nov 29, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the margin of victory for PSOE in the 2026 Spanish general election is at or above 3%, then the market resolves to Yes.

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