Selected outcome
Above 2.5%
52%
Above 2.5% · 52%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 13, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Social Security Administration (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Above 1.5%
Will the cost-of-living adjustment applied to Social Security benefits payable for December 2027 be above 1.5%?
83%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,446 vol
Bid 80¢ · Ask 85¢
- Above 2.0%
Will the cost-of-living adjustment applied to Social Security benefits payable for December 2027 be above 2.0%?
71%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$293 vol
Bid 66¢ · Ask 76¢
- Above 2.5%
Will the cost-of-living adjustment applied to Social Security benefits payable for December 2027 be above 2.5%?
52%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$435 vol
Bid 47¢ · Ask 57¢
- Above 3.0%
Will the cost-of-living adjustment applied to Social Security benefits payable for December 2027 be above 3.0%?
34%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$697 vol
Bid 30¢ · Ask 37¢
- Above 3.5%
Will the cost-of-living adjustment applied to Social Security benefits payable for December 2027 be above 3.5%?
28%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$52 vol
Bid 23¢ · Ask 32¢
- Above 4.0%
Will the cost-of-living adjustment applied to Social Security benefits payable for December 2027 be above 4.0%?
18%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$227 vol
Bid 13¢ · Ask 23¢
- Above 4.5%
Will the cost-of-living adjustment applied to Social Security benefits payable for December 2027 be above 4.5%?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$168 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 9¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 13, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the cost-of-living adjustment applied to Social Security benefits payable for December 2027, as initially announced by the Social Security Administration, is above 2.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.