How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?

Openone winner

In 2026

Selected outcome

8

2%

8 · 2%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end: Jan 1, 2027 ET
Resolution source: SpaceX (opens in a new tab)

Price

Loading price history.

Markets

4
Will exactly 4 Starship launches reach space in 2026?
43%
Open · ~$137 24h · ~$5,494 vol
Bid 40¢ · Ask 46¢
Open full market view →
5
Will exactly 5 Starship launches reach space in 2026?
47%
Open · ~$52 24h · ~$7,879 vol
Bid 44¢ · Ask 49¢
Open full market view →
3
Will exactly 3 Starship launches reach space in 2026?
6%
Open · ~$47 24h · ~$399 vol
Bid 5¢ · Ask 6¢
Open full market view →
7
Will exactly 7 Starship launches reach space in 2026?
1%
Open · ~$2 24h · ~$75 vol
last
Ask 2¢
Open full market view →
6
Will exactly 6 Starship launches reach space in 2026?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$282 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 3¢
Open full market view →
1 or below
Will below 2 Starship launches reach space in 2026?
1%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$37 vol
last
Ask 1¢
Open full market view →
2
Will exactly 2 Starship launches reach space in 2026?
1%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$32 vol
last
Ask 1¢
Open full market view →
8
Will exactly 8 Starship launches reach space in 2026?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$20 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢
Open full market view →
10 or above
Will above 10 or above Starship launches reach space in 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$41 vol
Ask 2¢
Open full market view →
9
Will exactly 9 Starship launches reach space in 2026?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$11 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢
Open full market view →

Event statistics

24h vol: ~$239
Volume: ~$14k
Liquidity: —
Open int.: 34k contracts

How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end: Jan 1, 2027 ET
Resolution source: SpaceX (opens in a new tab)

Trading
Closed
In review
Resolved

Rules text

If exactly 8 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Tech