Selected outcome
Before Jan 1, 2030
41%
Before Jan 1, 2030 · 41%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- the U.S. State Department (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Before Jan 1, 2030
Will the U.S. State Department issue a Level 4 warning for Taiwan before Jan 1, 2030?
41%
Open · ~$10 24h · ~$9,610 vol
Bid 40¢ · Ask 42¢
- Before Jan 1, 2027
Will the U.S. State Department issue a Level 4 warning for Taiwan before Jan 1, 2027?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5,295 vol
Bid 1.3¢ · Ask 2.9¢
- Before Jan 1, 2028
Will the U.S. State Department issue a Level 4 warning for Taiwan before Jan 1, 2028?
20%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$8,937 vol
Bid 19¢ · Ask 21¢
- Before Jan 1, 2029
Will the U.S. State Department issue a Level 4 warning for Taiwan before Jan 1, 2029?
29%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$6,452 vol
Bid 28¢ · Ask 30¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved