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Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?

Open

Before 2027

Selected outcome

Before 2027

3%

Before 2027 · 3%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET
Resolution source
The New York Times (opens in a new tab)

Price

Before 2027

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Markets

  • Before 2027

    Will it be reported that at least one million Americans have received checks of at least $1000 directly attributable to tariff revenue?

    3%

    Open · ~$81 24h · ~$44k vol

    Bid 2.7¢ · Ask 2.9¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$81
Volume
~$44k
Liquidity
—
Open int.
518k contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If at least one million Americans have received payments of at least $1,000 directly attributable to tariff revenue is reported by any of the Source Agencies before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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