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What will the tariff rate on Canadian imports be on Jan 1, 2027?

Open

Jan 1, 2027

Selected outcome

50% or above

wide spread 2–99%

50% or above

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET
Resolution source
Fox News (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • 40% or above

    Will the tariff rate on Canada imports be at least 40% on Jan 1, 2027?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    wide spread 2–99%

    Bid 2¢ · Ask 99¢

    Open full market view →
  • 50% or above

    Will the tariff rate on Canada imports be at least 50% on Jan 1, 2027?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    wide spread 2–99%

    Bid 2¢ · Ask 99¢

    Open full market view →
  • 15% or above

    Will the tariff rate on Canada imports be at least 15% on Jan 1, 2027?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    wide spread 2–97%

    Bid 2¢ · Ask 97¢

    Open full market view →
  • 20% or above

    Will the tariff rate on Canada imports be at least 20% on Jan 1, 2027?

    44%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$411 vol

    Bid 39¢ · Ask 48¢

    Open full market view →
  • 30% or above

    Will the tariff rate on Canada imports be at least 30% on Jan 1, 2027?

    25%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$507 vol

    Bid 21¢ · Ask 29¢

    Open full market view →
  • 10% or above

    Will the tariff rate on Canada imports be at least 10% on Jan 1, 2027?

    86%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$26 vol

    Bid 83¢ · Ask 89¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$0
Volume
~$944
Liquidity
—
Open int.
2,862 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the general import tariff rate on imports from Canada into the United States on Jan 1, 2027 is at least 50%, then the market resolves to Yes.

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