Selected outcome
15% or above
wide spread 2–98%
15% or above
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Fox News (opens in a new tab)
Price
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Markets
- 20% or above
Will the tariff rate on the European Union imports be at least 20% on Jan 1, 2027?
38%
Open · ~$15 24h · ~$41 vol
Bid 34¢ · Ask 41¢
- 40% or above
Will the tariff rate on the European Union imports be at least 40% on Jan 1, 2027?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 2–99%
Bid 2¢ · Ask 99¢
- 15% or above
Will the tariff rate on the European Union imports be at least 15% on Jan 1, 2027?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 2–98%
Bid 2¢ · Ask 98¢
- 30% or above
Will the tariff rate on the European Union imports be at least 30% on Jan 1, 2027?
17%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 12¢ · Ask 21¢
- 10% or above
Will the tariff rate on the European Union imports be at least 10% on Jan 1, 2027?
87%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$523 vol
Bid 82¢ · Ask 91¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the general import tariff rate on imports from the European Union into the United States on Jan 1, 2027 is at least 15%, then the market resolves to Yes.