Selected outcome
50% or above
7%
50% or above · 7%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Fox News (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- 20% or above
Will the tariff rate on People's Republic of China imports be at least 20% on Jan 1, 2027?
45%
Open · ~$101 24h · ~$1,126 vol
Bid 40¢ · Ask 49¢
- 15% or above
Will the tariff rate on People's Republic of China imports be at least 15% on Jan 1, 2027?
60%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 56¢ · Ask 64¢
- 30% or above
Will the tariff rate on People's Republic of China imports be at least 30% on Jan 1, 2027?
19%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol
Bid 15¢ · Ask 23¢
- 50% or above
Will the tariff rate on People's Republic of China imports be at least 50% on Jan 1, 2027?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 11¢
- 10% or above
Will the tariff rate on People's Republic of China imports be at least 10% on Jan 1, 2027?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 92¢ · Ask 99¢
- 100% or above
Will the tariff rate on People's Republic of China imports be at least 100% on Jan 1, 2027?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the general import tariff rate on imports from People's Republic of China into the United States on Jan 1, 2027 is at least 50%, then the market resolves to Yes.