Selected outcome
50° or above
No
50° or above · No
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 6:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- Synoptic Data (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- 47° or above
Will the temp in New York City be above 46.99° on Oct 21, 2026 at 6am EDT?
Yes
Settled · yes · ~$1,895 24h · ~$1,895 vol
- 48° or above
Will the temp in New York City be above 47.99° on Oct 21, 2026 at 6am EDT?
No
Settled · no · ~$442 24h · ~$442 vol
- 46° or above
Will the temp in New York City be above 45.99° on Oct 21, 2026 at 6am EDT?
Yes
Settled · yes · ~$37 24h · ~$37 vol
- 50° or above
Will the temp in New York City be above 49.99° on Oct 21, 2026 at 6am EDT?
No
Settled · no · ~$36 24h · ~$36 vol
- 49° or above
Will the temp in New York City be above 48.99° on Oct 21, 2026 at 6am EDT?
No
Settled · no · ~$11 24h · ~$11 vol
Event statistics
How this resolves
Settled
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 6:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the temperature recorded at New York City for Oct 21, 2026 at 6 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 49.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.