Selected outcome
Mistral
4%
Mistral · 4%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Jan 1, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Controls) (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- OpenAI
Will OpenAI have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?
14%
Open · ~$66 24h · ~$24k vol
Bid 13¢ · Ask 15¢
- Deepseek
Will Deepseek have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?
3%
Open · ~$15 24h · ~$715 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 4¢
- ByteDance
Will ByteDance have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$57 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 4¢
- Alibaba
Will Alibaba have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$967 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 5¢
- Mistral
Will Mistral have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$140 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 5¢
- Moonshot AI
Will Moonshot AI have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$62 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 4¢
- Nvidia
Will Nvidia have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,067 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 3¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Jan 1, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If Mistral has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.