Selected outcome
gemini-4-argon-high
76%
gemini-4-argon-high · 76%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control) (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- gemini-4-argon-high
What will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026?
76%
Open · ~$130 24h · ~$4,869 vol
Bid 73¢ · Ask 78¢
- claude-fable-5.1-max
What will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026?
1%
Open · ~$16 24h · ~$282 vol
last
Ask 1¢
- claude-opus-5.5-high
What will be the top AI model on Oct 31, 2026?
2%
Open · ~$2 24h · ~$218 vol
last
Ask 2¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Oct 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If gemini-4-argon-high is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.