Selected outcome
Above 50
83%
Above 50 · 83%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (opens in a new tab)
Price
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Markets
- Above 50
Will there be more than 50 tornadoes in October?
83%
Open · ~$471 24h · ~$6,241 vol
Bid 79¢ · Ask 86¢
- Above 75
Will there be more than 75 tornadoes in October?
17%
Open · ~$16 24h · ~$598 vol
wide spread 12–24%
Bid 12¢ · Ask 24¢
- Above 100
Will there be more than 100 tornadoes in October?
8%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$63 vol
Bid 6¢ · Ask 9¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the preliminary number of tornadoes in Oct is above 50 , then the market resolves to Yes.