Selected outcome
At least 6%
24%
At least 6% · 24%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Jan 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- The Associated Press (opens in a new tab)
Price
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Markets
- At least 4.5%
Will a third-party Senate candidate win at least 4.5% of the vote in 2026?
51%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 47¢ · Ask 55¢
- At least 5%
Will a third-party Senate candidate win at least 5% of the vote in 2026?
38%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 34¢ · Ask 42¢
- At least 10%
Will a third-party Senate candidate win at least 10% of the vote in 2026?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 7¢
- At least 12%
Will a third-party Senate candidate win at least 12% of the vote in 2026?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢
- At least 14%
Will a third-party Senate candidate win at least 14% of the vote in 2026?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 5¢
- At least 2%
Will a third-party Senate candidate win at least 2% of the vote in 2026?
97%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 95¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 4%
Will a third-party Senate candidate win at least 4% of the vote in 2026?
84%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$52 vol
Bid 80¢ · Ask 88¢
- At least 6%
Will a third-party Senate candidate win at least 6% of the vote in 2026?
24%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 20¢ · Ask 28¢
- At least 8%
Will a third-party Senate candidate win at least 8% of the vote in 2026?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 8¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Jan 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the highest vote share received by any qualifying third-party candidate in a 2026 U.S. Senate election is at least 6% in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections, then the market resolves to Yes.