Selected outcome
Below 45 billion
last
2%
Below 45 billion · 2%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Feb 28, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- 105 billion to 119.5 billion
Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 105 billion and 119.5 billion?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$15 vol
last
Ask 5¢
- 119.6 billion to 119.9 billion
Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 119.6 billion and 119.9 billion?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$54 vol
last
Ask 7¢
- 120 billion to 139.9 billion
Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 120 billion and 139.9 billion?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$40 vol
last
Ask 6¢
- 140 billion to 170 billion
Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 140 billion and 170 billion?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$36 vol
last
Ask 6¢
- 45 billion to 54.9 billion
Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 45 billion and 54.9 billion?
1%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$9 vol
last
Ask 5¢
- 55 billion to 64.9 billion
Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 55 billion and 64.9 billion?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$59 vol
Ask 1¢
- 65 billion to 74.9 billion
Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 65 billion and 74.9 billion?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$52 vol
last
Ask 6¢
- 75 billion to 84.9 billion
Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 75 billion and 84.9 billion?
1%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$10 vol
last
Ask 5¢
- 85 billion to 94.9 billion
Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 85 billion and 94.9 billion?
1%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$13 vol
last
Ask 4¢
- 95 billion to 104.9 billion
Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 95 billion and 104.9 billion?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$40 vol
last
Ask 6¢
- Above 170 billion
Will US trade deficit for 2026 be above 170 billion?
93%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4,983 vol
Bid 89¢ · Ask 96¢
- Below 45 billion
Will US trade deficit for 2026 be below 45 billion?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$16 vol
last
Ask 3¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Feb 28, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If US trade deficit for 2026 is below 45 billion, then the market resolves to Yes.