Selected outcome
Gaza
3%
Gaza · 3%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- the U.S. State Department (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Iraq
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Iraq?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$31 vol
Bid 1.7¢ · Ask 6.6¢
- Democratic Republic of the Congo
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Democratic Republic of the Congo?
12%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$130 vol
Bid 10¢ · Ask 14¢
- Uganda
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Uganda?
37%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$382 vol
Bid 34¢ · Ask 40¢
- Afghanistan
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Afghanistan?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$19 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 3.7¢
- Gaza
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Gaza?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 4.9¢
- Haiti
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Haiti?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$125 vol
Bid 1.1¢ · Ask 5.7¢
- Iran
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Iran?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,379 vol
Bid 1.8¢ · Ask 7.7¢
- Lebanon
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Lebanon?
9%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$680 vol
Bid 8.3¢ · Ask 10¢
- Libya
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Libya?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 4.9¢
- Burma (Myanmar)
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Burma (Myanmar)?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$18 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 6.9¢
- North Korea
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for North Korea?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2.9¢
- Russia
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Russia?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$153 vol
Bid 1.8¢ · Ask 4.7¢
- Somalia
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Somalia?
1%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$226 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 2.8¢
- South Sudan
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for South Sudan?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$27 vol
Bid 5.1¢ · Ask 5.7¢
- Sudan
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Sudan?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 3¢
- Syria
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Syria?
10%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$607 vol
Bid 7.5¢ · Ask 12¢
- Ukraine
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Ukraine?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$399 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 5.7¢
- Yemen
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Yemen?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$310 vol
Bid 3.4¢ · Ask 8¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Gaza after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.