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Number of tropical storms in the Atlantic in 2026?

Open

In 2026

Selected outcome

Above 16

2%

Above 16 · 2%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Dec 1, 2026 ET
Resolution source
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Above 10

    Will there be more than 10 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?

    36%

    Open · ~$295 24h · ~$6,970 vol

    Bid 35¢ · Ask 36¢

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  • Above 14

    Will there be more than 14 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?

    4%

    Open · ~$11 24h · ~$506 vol

    Bid 2¢ · Ask 5¢

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  • Above 12

    Will there be more than 12 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?

    8%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$430 vol

    Bid 6¢ · Ask 9¢

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  • Above 16

    Will there be more than 16 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?

    2%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$162 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 3¢

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  • Above 18

    Will there be more than 18 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?

    2%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$202 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢

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  • Above 20

    Will there be more than 20 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?

    1%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$7 vol

    last

    Ask 1¢

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  • Above 25

    Will there be more than 25 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$9 vol

    Ask 1¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 30

    Will there be more than 30 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?

    1%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$8 vol

    last

    Ask 1¢

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Event statistics
24h vol
~$307
Volume
~$8,294
Liquidity
—
Open int.
19k contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Dec 1, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 16 storms with maximum sustained windspeeds of 39 miles per hour or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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