Selected outcome
Scott Bessent
7%
Scott Bessent · 7%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 30, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- ABC News Australia (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Susie Wiles
Will Susie WIles leaves Chief of Staff in before 2027?
39%
Open · ~$1,656 24h · ~$117k vol
Bid 38¢ · Ask 39¢
- Pete Hegseth
Will Pete Hegseth leaves Secretary of Defense in before 2027?
25%
Open · ~$1,419 24h · ~$313k vol
Bid 24¢ · Ask 26¢
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leaves HHS Secretary in before 2027?
13%
Open · ~$160 24h · ~$37k vol
Bid 12¢ · Ask 14¢
- Kash Patel
Will Kash Patel leaves Director of the FBI in before 2027?
19%
Open · ~$142 24h · ~$234k vol
Bid 18¢ · Ask 19¢
- Marco Rubio
Will Marco Rubio leaves Secretary of State in before 2027?
10%
Open · ~$68 24h · ~$20k vol
Bid 8.3¢ · Ask 11¢
- Stephen Miller
Will Stephen Miller leaves Deputy Chief of Staff in before 2027?
14%
Open · ~$61 24h · ~$17k vol
Bid 12¢ · Ask 15¢
- Ric Grenell
Will Ric Grenell leaves Special Presidential Envoy for Special Missions in before 2027?
71%
Open · ~$56 24h · ~$1,995 vol
Bid 69¢ · Ask 73¢
- Howard Lutnick
Will Howard Lutnick leaves Secretary of Commerce in before 2027?
18%
Open · ~$38 24h · ~$80k vol
Bid 17¢ · Ask 18¢
- Steve Witkoff
Will Steve Witkoff leaves Special Envoy to the Middle East in before 2027?
18%
Open · ~$29 24h · ~$6,513 vol
Bid 17¢ · Ask 18¢
- Chris Wright
Will Chris Wright leaves Secretary of Energy in before 2027?
16%
Open · ~$29 24h · ~$8,146 vol
Bid 15¢ · Ask 17¢
- Tom Homan
Will Tom Homan leaves White House Border Czar in before 2027?
15%
Open · ~$12 24h · ~$6,489 vol
Bid 14¢ · Ask 16¢
- Amy Gleason
Will Amy Gleason leaves Acting Administrator of the US DOGE Service in before 2027?
30%
Open · ~$9 24h · ~$29k vol
Bid 28¢ · Ask 31¢
- Jamieson Greer
Will Jamieson Greer leaves United States Trade Representative in before 2027?
12%
Open · ~$9 24h · ~$586 vol
Bid 11¢ · Ask 12¢
- Mike Huckabee
Will Mike Huckabee leaves Ambassador to Israel in before 2027?
16%
Open · ~$8 24h · ~$4,460 vol
Bid 15¢ · Ask 16¢
- Mehmet Oz
Will Mehmet Oz leaves CMS Administrator in before 2027?
12%
Open · ~$6 24h · ~$2,610 vol
Bid 11¢ · Ask 12¢
- Peter Navarro
Will Peter Navarro leaves Senior Counselor to the President for Trade and Manufacturing in before 2027?
14%
Open · ~$5 24h · ~$1,376 vol
Bid 13¢ · Ask 16¢
- Doug Collins
Will Doug Collins leaves Secretary of Veterans Affairs in before 2027?
31%
Open · ~$5 24h · ~$6,826 vol
Bid 30¢ · Ask 32¢
- Bill Pulte
Will Bill Pulte leaves FHFA Director in before 2027?
22%
Open · ~$4 24h · ~$12k vol
Bid 21¢ · Ask 22¢
- Lee Zeldin
Will Lee Zeldin leaves EPA Administrator in before 2027?
7%
Open · ~$3 24h · ~$3,955 vol
Bid 6¢ · Ask 8.9¢
- Scott Turner
Will Scott Turner leaves Secretary of Housing and Urban Development in before 2027?
15%
Open · ~$2 24h · ~$2,177 vol
Bid 13¢ · Ask 17¢
- John Ratcliffe
Will John Ratcliffe leaves Director of the CIA in before 2027?
13%
Open · ~$2 24h · ~$2,404 vol
Bid 12¢ · Ask 13¢
- Steven Cheung
Will Steven Cheung be out as White House Communications Director before 2027?
11%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$820 vol
Bid 10¢ · Ask 11¢
- Scott Bessent
Will Scott Bessent leaves Secretary of the Treasury in before 2027?
7%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$7,324 vol
Bid 4.4¢ · Ask 8.9¢
- Brooke Rollins
Will Brooke Rollins leaves Secretary of Agriculture in before 2027?
18%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$2,525 vol
Bid 17¢ · Ask 19¢
- Sean Duffy
Will Sean Duffy leaves Secretary of Transportation in before 2027?
13%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$3,244 vol
Bid 12¢ · Ask 14¢
- Kelly Loeffler
Will Kelly Loeffler leaves Administrator of the Small Business Administration in before 2027?
12%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$882 vol
Bid 11¢ · Ask 12¢
- Brendan Carr
Will Brendan Carr leaves Chairman of the FCC in before 2027?
11%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$905 vol
Bid 9.1¢ · Ask 13¢
- Linda McMahon
Will Linda McMahon leaves Secretary of Education in before 2027?
18%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$4,125 vol
Bid 17¢ · Ask 19¢
- Rodney Scott
Will Rodney Scott leaves CBP Commissioner in before 2027?
13%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$440 vol
Bid 11¢ · Ask 14¢
- Doug Burgum
Will Doug Burgum leaves Secretary of the Interior in before 2027?
14%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,019 vol
Bid 12¢ · Ask 15¢
- Russell Vought
Will Russell Vought leaves OMB Director in before 2027?
12%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,364 vol
Bid 11¢ · Ask 12¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 30, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If Scott Bessent leaves as Secretary of the Treasury before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.