Selected outcome
38.8%
No
38.8% · No
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 12:59 PM ET
- Resolution source
- RealClearPolitics (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Below 38.6%
Will Trump's RCP approval average be below 38.6 on Oct 21, 2026?
Yes
Closed · yes · ~$121k 24h · ~$121k vol
- 38.6%
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.6 on Oct 21, 2026?
No
Closed · no · ~$1,534 24h · ~$1,573 vol
- 38.7%
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.7 on Oct 21, 2026?
No
Closed · no · ~$691 24h · ~$696 vol
- 38.8%
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.8 on Oct 21, 2026?
No
Closed · no · ~$324 24h · ~$386 vol
- Above 39.2%
Will Trump's RCP approval average be above 39.2 on Oct 21, 2026?
No
Closed · no · ~$298 24h · ~$304 vol
- 38.9%
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.9 on Oct 21, 2026?
No
Closed · no · ~$228 24h · ~$229 vol
- 39.2%
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 39.2 on Oct 21, 2026?
No
Closed · no · ~$182 24h · ~$183 vol
- 39.0%
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 39.0 on Oct 21, 2026?
No
Closed · no · ~$170 24h · ~$171 vol
- 39.1%
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 39.1 on Oct 21, 2026?
No
Closed · no · ~$168 24h · ~$168 vol
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
Settled
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 12:59 PM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.8% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.