Selected outcome
Below 37.9%
6%
Below 37.9% · 6%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 22, 12:59 PM ET
- Resolution source
- RealClearPolitics (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- 38.3%
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.3 on Oct 22, 2026?
26%
Open · ~$796 24h · ~$798 vol
Bid 25¢ · Ask 26¢
- 38.1%
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.1 on Oct 22, 2026?
10%
Open · ~$229 24h · ~$229 vol
Bid 9¢ · Ask 11¢
- Above 38.5%
Will Trump's RCP approval average be above 38.5 on Oct 22, 2026?
12%
Open · ~$71 24h · ~$71 vol
Bid 11¢ · Ask 12¢
- 38.4%
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.4 on Oct 22, 2026?
20%
Open · ~$57 24h · ~$57 vol
Bid 19¢ · Ask 20¢
- Below 37.9%
Will Trump's RCP approval average be below 37.9 on Oct 22, 2026?
6%
Open · ~$46 24h · ~$46 vol
Bid 5¢ · Ask 6¢
- 38.2%
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.2 on Oct 22, 2026?
12%
Open · ~$45 24h · ~$45 vol
Bid 11¢ · Ask 13¢
- 37.9%
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 37.9 on Oct 22, 2026?
5%
Open · ~$29 24h · ~$29 vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 5¢
- 38.0%
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.0 on Oct 22, 2026?
6%
Open · ~$21 24h · ~$21 vol
Bid 5¢ · Ask 6¢
- 38.5%
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.5 on Oct 22, 2026?
7%
Open · ~$16 24h · ~$16 vol
Bid 6¢ · Ask 7¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Oct 22, 12:59 PM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If Trump's RCP approval average is below 37.9% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.