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How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026?

Open

November 3, 2026

Selected outcome

At least 58

5%

At least 58 · 5%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Dec 15, 2026 ET
Resolution source
Office of the Clerk, U.S. House of Representatives (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • At least 13

    Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 13 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

    94%

    Open · ~$1,729 24h · ~$1,731 vol

    Bid 90¢ · Ask 97¢

    Open full market view →
  • At least 25

    Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 25 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

    78%

    Open · ~$2 24h · ~$178 vol

    Bid 73¢ · Ask 82¢

    Open full market view →
  • At least 52

    Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 52 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

    12%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 8¢ · Ask 15¢

    Open full market view →
  • At least 58

    Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 58 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

    5%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 2¢ · Ask 8¢

    Open full market view →
  • At least 10

    Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 10 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

    99%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$75 vol

    last

    Bid 97¢

    Open full market view →
  • At least 16

    Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 16 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

    93%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$360 vol

    Bid 88¢ · Ask 97¢

    Open full market view →
  • At least 19

    Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 19 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

    89%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$755 vol

    Bid 85¢ · Ask 93¢

    Open full market view →
  • At least 22

    Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 22 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

    88%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$746 vol

    Bid 83¢ · Ask 92¢

    Open full market view →
  • At least 28

    Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 28 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

    72%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$30 vol

    Bid 67¢ · Ask 76¢

    Open full market view →
  • At least 31

    Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 31 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

    63%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$172 vol

    Bid 58¢ · Ask 67¢

    Open full market view →
  • At least 35

    Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 35 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

    48%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$149 vol

    Bid 43¢ · Ask 52¢

    Open full market view →
  • At least 40

    Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 40 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

    34%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$211 vol

    Bid 29¢ · Ask 38¢

    Open full market view →
  • At least 46

    Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 46 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

    20%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$445 vol

    Bid 15¢ · Ask 24¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$1,731
Volume
~$4,851
Liquidity
—
Open int.
4,156 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Dec 15, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 is at least 58 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.

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