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Midterms: Trump approval in the exit poll?

Open

On Nov 6, 2026

Selected outcome

Above 42%

16%

Above 42% · 16%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Nov 6, 2026 ET
Resolution source
CNN (opens in a new tab)

Price

Loading price history.

Markets

  • Above 30%

    Will above 30% of voters approve of Trump's job performance in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?

    90%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$6 vol

    Bid 86¢ · Ask 93¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 32%

    Will above 32% of voters approve of Trump's job performance in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?

    82%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 77¢ · Ask 87¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 34%

    Will above 34% of voters approve of Trump's job performance in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?

    72%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$230 vol

    Bid 67¢ · Ask 76¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 36%

    Will above 36% of voters approve of Trump's job performance in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?

    56%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$150 vol

    Bid 51¢ · Ask 61¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 38%

    Will above 38% of voters approve of Trump's job performance in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?

    39%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 34¢ · Ask 44¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 40%

    Will above 40% of voters approve of Trump's job performance in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?

    21%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$12 vol

    Bid 16¢ · Ask 26¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 42%

    Will above 42% of voters approve of Trump's job performance in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?

    16%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2 vol

    Bid 11¢ · Ask 21¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 44%

    Will above 44% of voters approve of Trump's job performance in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?

    10%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol

    Bid 5¢ · Ask 15¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 46%

    Will above 46% of voters approve of Trump's job performance in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?

    5%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 9¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$0
Volume
~$401
Liquidity
—
Open int.
604 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Nov 6, 2026 ET
Resolution source
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the share of voters who approve of Donald Trump's job performance as president in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll is above 42%, then the market resolves to Yes.

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