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Will Trump run for a third term?

Open

2028 President of the United States race

Selected outcome

Before 2028

17%

Before 2028 · 17%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Jan 1, 2027 ET
Resolution source
The New York Times (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Before Election Day

    Will Donald Trump announce a run for President of the United States before Nov 7, 2028?

    19%

    Open · ~$43 24h · ~$11k vol

    Bid 17¢ · Ask 20¢

    Open full market view →
  • Before 2027

    Will Donald Trump announce a run for President of the United States before Jan 1, 2027?

    6%

    Open · ~$14 24h · ~$2,856 vol

    Bid 6.1¢ · Ask 6.8¢

    Open full market view →
  • Before 2028

    Will Donald Trump announce a run for President of the United States before Jan 1, 2028?

    17%

    Open · ~$4 24h · ~$6,625 vol

    Bid 15¢ · Ask 18¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$61
Volume
~$20k
Liquidity
—
Open int.
55k contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Jan 1, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If Donald Trump has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Jan 1, 2028, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.

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