Selected outcome
Bahrain / Bahraini
wide spread 42–56%
Bahrain / Bahraini
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 1, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- ABC (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Iceland / Icelandic
Will Trump say "Iceland / Icelandic" before Nov 1, 2026?
99%
Open · ~$1,190 24h · ~$24k vol
last
Bid 99¢
- Bahrain / Bahraini
Will Trump say "Bahrain / Bahraini" before Nov 1, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$146 24h · ~$604 vol
wide spread 42–56%
Bid 42¢ · Ask 56¢
- Australia / Australian
Will Trump say "Australia / Australian" before Nov 1, 2026?
71%
Open · ~$36 24h · ~$479 vol
wide spread 68–84%
Bid 68¢ · Ask 84¢
- UAE / United Arab Emirates
Will Trump say "UAE / United Arab Emirates" before Nov 1, 2026?
75%
Open · ~$9 24h · ~$277 vol
Bid 72¢ · Ask 78¢
- Cuba / Cuban
Will Trump say "Cuba / Cuban" before Nov 1, 2026?
43%
Open · ~$4 24h · ~$262 vol
wide spread 32–49%
Bid 32¢ · Ask 49¢
- Belgium / Belgian
Will Trump say "Belgium / Belgian" before Nov 1, 2026?
22%
Open · ~$3 24h · ~$238 vol
Bid 17¢ · Ask 26¢
- Panama / Panamanian
Will Trump say "Panama / Panamanian" before Nov 1, 2026?
57%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$291 vol
wide spread 46–58%
Bid 46¢ · Ask 58¢
- Argentina / Argentinian
Will Trump say "Argentina / Argentinian" before Nov 1, 2026?
99%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$672 vol
last
Bid 87¢
- Hungary / Hungarian
Will Trump say "Hungary / Hungarian" before Nov 1, 2026?
16%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$90 vol
wide spread 6–17%
Bid 6¢ · Ask 17¢
- Jamaica / Jamaican
Will Trump say "Jamaica / Jamaican" before Nov 1, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4 vol
wide spread 6–17%
Bid 6¢ · Ask 17¢
- Kuwait / Kuwaiti
Will Trump say "Kuwait / Kuwaiti" before Nov 1, 2026?
31%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$198 vol
wide spread 31–45%
Bid 31¢ · Ask 45¢
- Paraguay / Paraguayan
Will Trump say "Paraguay / Paraguayan" before Nov 1, 2026?
16%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$15 vol
Bid 11¢ · Ask 21¢
- South Africa / South African
Will Trump say "South Africa / South African" before Nov 1, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$875 vol
wide spread 20–31%
Bid 20¢ · Ask 31¢
- Sudan / Sudanese
Will Trump say "Sudan / Sudanese" before Nov 1, 2026?
23%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$546 vol
Bid 18¢ · Ask 27¢
Resolved
- United Kingdom / British
Will Trump say "United Kingdom / British" before Nov 1, 2026?
Yes
Settled · yes · ~$0 24h · ~$812 vol
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 1, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If Bahrain / Bahraini, or a plural or possessive form of Bahrain / Bahraini, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.