Will Trump cut the China trade gap below $150B in 2026?

Open

In 2026

Selected outcome

Below $150B

wide spread 25–93%

54%

Below $150B · 54%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end: Feb 4, 2027 ET
Resolution source: the U.S. Census Bureau (opens in a new tab)

Price

Below $150B

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Markets

Below $150B
Will the U.S. goods trade deficit with China before January 1, 2027 be below $150B?
54%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$684 vol
wide spread 25–93%
Bid 25¢ · Ask 93¢
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Event statistics

24h vol: ~$0
Volume: ~$684
Liquidity: —
Open int.: 1,264 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end: Feb 4, 2027 ET
Resolution source: the U.S. Census Bureau (opens in a new tab)

Trading
Closed
In review
Resolved

Economy