Selected outcome
Below $150B
wide spread 25–93%
54%
Below $150B · 54%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Feb 4, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- the U.S. Census Bureau (opens in a new tab)
Price
Below $150B
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Markets
- Below $150B
Will the U.S. goods trade deficit with China before January 1, 2027 be below $150B?
54%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$684 vol
wide spread 25–93%
Bid 25¢ · Ask 93¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Feb 4, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the U.S. goods trade deficit with China for calendar year 2026 is below $150 billion, then the market resolves to Yes.