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How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?

Open

2026

Selected outcome

Above 93,000 MW

3%

Above 93,000 MW · 3%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Jan 1, 2027 ET
Resolution source
Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Above 92,500 MW

    Will integrated system load on the ERCOT grid during 2026 get above 92,500 MW?

    4%

    Open · ~$200 24h · ~$3,362 vol

    Bid 3¢ · Ask 4¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 92,000 MW

    Will integrated system load on the ERCOT grid during 2026 get above 92,000 MW?

    4%

    Open · ~$117 24h · ~$5,792 vol

    Bid 3¢ · Ask 4¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 91,500 MW

    Will integrated system load on the ERCOT grid during 2026 get above 91,500 MW?

    5%

    Open · ~$45 24h · ~$8,302 vol

    Bid 4¢ · Ask 5¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 94,000 MW

    Will integrated system load on the ERCOT grid during 2026 get above 94,000 MW?

    3%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,749 vol

    Bid 2¢ · Ask 3¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 93,000 MW

    Will integrated system load on the ERCOT grid during 2026 get above 93,000 MW?

    3%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,522 vol

    Bid 2¢ · Ask 3¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 96,000 MW

    Will integrated system load on the ERCOT grid during 2026 get above 96,000 MW?

    3%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$904 vol

    Bid 2¢ · Ask 3¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 98,000 MW

    Will integrated system load on the ERCOT grid during 2026 get above 98,000 MW?

    2%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$401 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$362
Volume
~$23k
Liquidity
—
Open int.
191k contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Jan 1, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If ERCOT reports that the integrated system load on the ERCOT grid during calendar year 2026 is above 93,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes.

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