Selected outcome
Above 4.7%
5%
Above 4.7% · 5%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 4, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Bureau of Labor Statistics (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Above 4.0%
Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.0% in November?
No quote
Open · ~$34 24h · ~$1,063 vol
wide spread 68–99%
Bid 68¢ · Ask 99¢
- Above 4.1%
Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.1% in November?
48%
Open · ~$4 24h · ~$1,616 vol
wide spread 48–84%
Bid 48¢ · Ask 84¢
- Above 4.3%
Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.3% in November?
11%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$393 vol
wide spread 9–89%
Bid 9¢ · Ask 89¢
- Above 4.7%
Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.7% in November?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5 vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 6¢
- Above 3.7%
Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 3.7% in November?
97%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,039 vol
last
Bid 91¢
- Above 3.8%
Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 3.8% in November?
98%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,052 vol
last
Bid 85¢
- Above 3.9%
Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 3.9% in November?
97%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,327 vol
last
Bid 82¢
- Above 4.2%
Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.2% in November?
22%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$895 vol
wide spread 20–77%
Bid 20¢ · Ask 77¢
- Above 4.4%
Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.4% in November?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$567 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 7¢
- Above 4.5%
Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.5% in November?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,078 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 8¢
- Above 4.6%
Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.6% in November?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$175 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 7¢
- Above 4.8%
Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.8% in November?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$13 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 7¢
- Above 4.9%
Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.9% in November?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 6¢
- Above 5.0%
Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 5.0% in November?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 7¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 4, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 4.7% in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.