Selected outcome
Above 4.4%
3%
Above 4.4% · 3%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 6, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Bureau of Labor Statistics (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Above 3.7%
Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 3.7% in October?
99%
Open · ~$241 24h · ~$3,626 vol
last
Bid 99¢
- Above 4.0%
Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.0% in October?
94%
Open · ~$198 24h · ~$8,510 vol
Bid 93¢ · Ask 94¢
- Above 4.1%
Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.1% in October?
70%
Open · ~$133 24h · ~$36k vol
Bid 69¢ · Ask 70¢
- Above 4.2%
Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.2% in October?
33%
Open · ~$123 24h · ~$4,138 vol
Bid 32¢ · Ask 33¢
- Above 3.9%
Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 3.9% in October?
99%
Open · ~$49 24h · ~$8,354 vol
Bid 98¢ · Ask 99¢
- Above 4.3%
Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.3% in October?
8%
Open · ~$39 24h · ~$764 vol
Bid 6¢ · Ask 10¢
- Above 4.4%
Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.4% in October?
3%
Open · ~$13 24h · ~$362 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 3¢
- Above 4.7%
Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.7% in October?
2%
Open · ~$11 24h · ~$14 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 3¢
- Above 3.8%
Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 3.8% in October?
99%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$8,472 vol
Bid 98¢ · Ask 99¢
- Above 4.5%
Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.5% in October?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$605 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢
- Above 4.6%
Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.6% in October?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$22 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 3¢
- Above 4.8%
Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.8% in October?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$30 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢
- Above 4.9%
Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.9% in October?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$16 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢
- Above 5.0%
Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 5.0% in October?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$10 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 6, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 4.4% in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.