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US unemployment rate at year-end 2026

Open

December 2026

Selected outcome

Above 3.5%

96%

Above 3.5% · 96%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Jan 8, 2027 ET
Resolution source
Bureau of Labor Statistics (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Above 10.0%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2026 be above 10.0%?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Ask 5¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 3.0%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2026 be above 3.0%?

    97%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 94¢ · Ask 99¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 3.5%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2026 be above 3.5%?

    96%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 93¢ · Ask 99¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 4.0%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2026 be above 4.0%?

    77%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$299 vol

    Bid 75¢ · Ask 79¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 4.5%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2026 be above 4.5%?

    16%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$764 vol

    Bid 15¢ · Ask 17¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 5.0%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2026 be above 5.0%?

    8%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$81 vol

    Bid 3¢ · Ask 13¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 5.5%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2026 be above 5.5%?

    6%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$52 vol

    Bid 2¢ · Ask 9¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 6.0%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2026 be above 6.0%?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Ask 5¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 6.5%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2026 be above 6.5%?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Ask 5¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 7.0%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2026 be above 7.0%?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Ask 5¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 7.5%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2026 be above 7.5%?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Ask 5¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 8.0%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2026 be above 8.0%?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Ask 5¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 8.5%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2026 be above 8.5%?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Ask 5¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 9.0%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2026 be above 9.0%?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Ask 5¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 9.5%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2026 be above 9.5%?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Ask 5¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$0
Volume
~$1,197
Liquidity
—
Open int.
6,801 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Jan 8, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2026 is above 3.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.

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