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US unemployment rate at year-end 2027

Open

December 2027

Selected outcome

Above 4.0%

85%

Above 4.0% · 85%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Jan 7, 2028 ET
Resolution source
Bureau of Labor Statistics (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Above 10.0%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2027 be above 10.0%?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Ask 6¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 3.0%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2027 be above 3.0%?

    96%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 93¢ · Ask 99¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 3.5%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2027 be above 3.5%?

    95%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 90¢ · Ask 99¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 4.0%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2027 be above 4.0%?

    85%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 80¢ · Ask 90¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 4.5%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2027 be above 4.5%?

    75%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 70¢ · Ask 80¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 5.0%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2027 be above 5.0%?

    65%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 60¢ · Ask 70¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 5.5%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2027 be above 5.5%?

    55%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 50¢ · Ask 60¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 6.0%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2027 be above 6.0%?

    45%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$8 vol

    Bid 40¢ · Ask 50¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 6.5%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2027 be above 6.5%?

    35%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 30¢ · Ask 40¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 7.0%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2027 be above 7.0%?

    25%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 20¢ · Ask 30¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 7.5%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2027 be above 7.5%?

    15%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 10¢ · Ask 20¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 8.0%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2027 be above 8.0%?

    4%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$42 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 7¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 8.5%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2027 be above 8.5%?

    4%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$25 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 7¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 9.0%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2027 be above 9.0%?

    3%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$75 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 5¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 9.5%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2027 be above 9.5%?

    3%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$20 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 4¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$0
Volume
~$170
Liquidity
—
Open int.
2,515 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Jan 7, 2028 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2027 is above 4.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.

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