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US unemployment rate at year-end 2028

Open

December 2028

Selected outcome

Above 3.5%

90%

Above 3.5% · 90%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Jan 5, 2029 ET
Resolution source
Bureau of Labor Statistics (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Above 10.0%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2028 be above 10.0%?

    4%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$30 vol

    Bid 2¢ · Ask 6¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 3.0%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2028 be above 3.0%?

    95%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 90¢ · Ask 99¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 3.5%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2028 be above 3.5%?

    90%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 85¢ · Ask 95¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 4.0%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2028 be above 4.0%?

    82%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 77¢ · Ask 87¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 4.5%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2028 be above 4.5%?

    74%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 69¢ · Ask 79¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 5.0%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2028 be above 5.0%?

    66%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 61¢ · Ask 71¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 5.5%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2028 be above 5.5%?

    59%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 54¢ · Ask 64¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 6.0%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2028 be above 6.0%?

    51%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$24 vol

    Bid 46¢ · Ask 56¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 6.5%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2028 be above 6.5%?

    43%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 38¢ · Ask 48¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 7.0%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2028 be above 7.0%?

    36%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 31¢ · Ask 41¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 7.5%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2028 be above 7.5%?

    28%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 23¢ · Ask 33¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 8.0%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2028 be above 8.0%?

    20%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 15¢ · Ask 25¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 8.5%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2028 be above 8.5%?

    13%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 8¢ · Ask 18¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 9.0%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2028 be above 9.0%?

    6%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$72 vol

    Bid 3¢ · Ask 9¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 9.5%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2028 be above 9.5%?

    6%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$70 vol

    Bid 3¢ · Ask 8¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$0
Volume
~$196
Liquidity
—
Open int.
2,100 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Jan 5, 2029 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2028 is above 3.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.

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