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US unemployment rate at year-end 2029

Open

December 2029

Selected outcome

Above 8.5%

23%

Above 8.5% · 23%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Jan 4, 2030 ET
Resolution source
Bureau of Labor Statistics (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Above 10.0%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2029 be above 10.0%?

    6%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$160 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 10¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 3.0%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2029 be above 3.0%?

    93%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 88¢ · Ask 98¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 3.5%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2029 be above 3.5%?

    85%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 80¢ · Ask 90¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 4.0%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2029 be above 4.0%?

    79%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 74¢ · Ask 84¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 4.5%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2029 be above 4.5%?

    73%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 68¢ · Ask 78¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 5.0%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2029 be above 5.0%?

    67%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 62¢ · Ask 72¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 5.5%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2029 be above 5.5%?

    60%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 55¢ · Ask 65¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 6.0%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2029 be above 6.0%?

    54%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 49¢ · Ask 59¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 6.5%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2029 be above 6.5%?

    48%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 43¢ · Ask 53¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 7.0%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2029 be above 7.0%?

    42%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 37¢ · Ask 47¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 7.5%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2029 be above 7.5%?

    36%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 31¢ · Ask 41¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 8.0%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2029 be above 8.0%?

    30%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 25¢ · Ask 35¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 8.5%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2029 be above 8.5%?

    23%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 18¢ · Ask 28¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 9.0%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2029 be above 9.0%?

    17%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 12¢ · Ask 22¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 9.5%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2029 be above 9.5%?

    11%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 6¢ · Ask 16¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$0
Volume
~$160
Liquidity
—
Open int.
1,200 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Jan 4, 2030 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2029 is above 8.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.

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