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US unemployment rate at year-end 2031

Open

December 2031

Selected outcome

Above 6.0%

53%

Above 6.0% · 53%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Jan 9, 2032 ET
Resolution source
Bureau of Labor Statistics (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Above 10.0%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2031 be above 10.0%?

    7%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$99 vol

    Bid 4¢ · Ask 10¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 3.0%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2031 be above 3.0%?

    91%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 86¢ · Ask 96¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 3.5%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2031 be above 3.5%?

    81%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 76¢ · Ask 86¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 4.0%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2031 be above 4.0%?

    75%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 70¢ · Ask 80¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 4.5%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2031 be above 4.5%?

    70%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 65¢ · Ask 75¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 5.0%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2031 be above 5.0%?

    64%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 59¢ · Ask 69¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 5.5%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2031 be above 5.5%?

    59%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 54¢ · Ask 64¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 6.0%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2031 be above 6.0%?

    53%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 48¢ · Ask 58¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 6.5%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2031 be above 6.5%?

    48%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 43¢ · Ask 53¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 7.0%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2031 be above 7.0%?

    42%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 37¢ · Ask 47¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 7.5%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2031 be above 7.5%?

    37%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 32¢ · Ask 42¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 8.0%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2031 be above 8.0%?

    31%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 26¢ · Ask 36¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 8.5%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2031 be above 8.5%?

    26%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 21¢ · Ask 31¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 9.0%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2031 be above 9.0%?

    20%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 15¢ · Ask 25¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 9.5%

    Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2031 be above 9.5%?

    15%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 10¢ · Ask 20¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$0
Volume
~$99
Liquidity
—
Open int.
500 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Jan 9, 2032 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2031 is above 6.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.

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