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How high will unemployment get in 2026?

Open

Before 2027

Selected outcome

Above 15%

3%

Above 15% · 3%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Jan 8, 2027 ET
Resolution source
Bureau of Labor Statistics (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

Event statistics
24h vol
~$1
Volume
~$27k
Liquidity
—
Open int.
320k contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Jan 8, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If any U.S. seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate for a month in 2026 is above 15%, the market resolves to Yes.

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