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Will the UK reverse the Diego Garcia sovereignty transfer?

Open

Diego Garcia sovereignty

Selected outcome

Before Dec 1, 2026

5%

Before Dec 1, 2026 · 5%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Nov 30, 2026 ET
Resolution source
Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Before Dec 1, 2026

    Will the UK agree to or announce a decision not to transfer sovereignty over Diego Garcia to Mauritius before Dec 1, 2026?

    5%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$127 vol

    Bid 2¢ · Ask 7¢

    Open full market view →
  • Before Apr 1, 2027

    Will the UK agree to or announce a decision not to transfer sovereignty over Diego Garcia to Mauritius before Apr 1, 2027?

    26%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$258 vol

    Bid 24¢ · Ask 27¢

    Open full market view →
  • Before Aug 1, 2027

    Will the UK agree to or announce a decision not to transfer sovereignty over Diego Garcia to Mauritius before Aug 1, 2027?

    36%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$447 vol

    Bid 35¢ · Ask 36¢

    Open full market view →
  • Before Jan 1, 2028

    Will the UK agree to or announce a decision not to transfer sovereignty over Diego Garcia to Mauritius before Jan 1, 2028?

    44%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$326 vol

    Bid 40¢ · Ask 48¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$0
Volume
~$1,158
Liquidity
—
Open int.
3,776 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Nov 30, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the UK agrees to or announces a decision not to transfer sovereignty over Diego Garcia to Mauritius before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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