Selected outcome
Abdul El-Sayed
24%
Abdul El-Sayed · 24%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Jan 4, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Federal Election Commission (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Keisha Lance Bottoms
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms underperform Kamala Harris in Georgia?
35%
Open · ~$117 24h · ~$2,123 vol
Bid 34¢ · Ask 36¢
- Angie Nixon
Will Angie Nixon underperform Kamala Harris in Florida?
19%
Open · ~$64 24h · ~$1,153 vol
Bid 15¢ · Ask 22¢
- Peggy Flanagan
Will Peggy Flanagan underperform Kamala Harris in Minnesota?
44%
Open · ~$9 24h · ~$4,755 vol
Bid 42¢ · Ask 46¢
- Troy Jackson
Will Troy Jackson underperform Kamala Harris in Maine?
84%
Open · ~$9 24h · ~$3,720 vol
Bid 80¢ · Ask 87¢
- David Jolly
Will David Jolly underperform Kamala Harris in Florida?
13%
Open · ~$6 24h · ~$898 vol
Bid 10¢ · Ask 16¢
- Kathy Hochul
Will Kathy Hochul underperform Kamala Harris in New York?
45%
Open · ~$6 24h · ~$1,742 vol
Bid 44¢ · Ask 45¢
- Abdul El-Sayed
Will Abdul El-Sayed underperform Kamala Harris in Michigan?
24%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$231 vol
Bid 21¢ · Ask 27¢
- Chris Pappas
Will Chris Pappas underperform Kamala Harris in New Hampshire?
22%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$177 vol
Bid 18¢ · Ask 25¢
- Tina Kotek
Will Tina Kotek underperform Kamala Harris in Oregon?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$6,421 vol
Bid 91¢ · Ask 97¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Jan 4, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If Abdul El-Sayed's certified vote share in the 2026 general election is lower than Kamala Harris's certified 2024 presidential vote share in their state, then the market resolves to Yes.