Selected outcome
Before Feb 1, 2027
12%
Before Feb 1, 2027 · 12%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 1, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- The New York Times (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Before Jan 1, 2027
Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year?
9%
Open · ~$758 24h · ~$142k vol
Bid 7.6¢ · Ask 9.9¢
- Before Nov 1, 2026
Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year?
2%
Open · ~$610 24h · ~$26k vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢
- Before Jan 1, 2028
Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year?
30%
Open · ~$159 24h · ~$39k vol
Bid 29¢ · Ask 30¢
- Before Jan 20, 2029
Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year?
36%
Open · ~$117 24h · ~$48k vol
Bid 35¢ · Ask 36¢
- Before Dec 1, 2026
Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year?
7%
Open · ~$74 24h · ~$17k vol
Bid 6¢ · Ask 7¢
- Before Feb 1, 2027
Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year?
12%
Open · ~$22 24h · ~$3,621 vol
Bid 10¢ · Ask 14¢
- Before Mar 1, 2027
Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year?
14%
Open · ~$17 24h · ~$12k vol
Bid 13¢ · Ask 14¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 1, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the United States has agreed to, signed, or accepted a new Iran-US nuclear deal before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.