Selected outcome
Before Nov 1, 2026
19%
Before Nov 1, 2026 · 19%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- The White House (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Before Apr 1, 2027
Will Trump order lower tariffs on Canada before Apr 1, 2027?
No quote
Open · ~$111 24h · ~$111 vol
Bid 11¢
- Before Dec 1, 2026
Will Trump order lower tariffs on Canada before Dec 1, 2026?
40%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$25 vol
Bid 35¢ · Ask 45¢
- Before Jan 1, 2027
Will Trump order lower tariffs on Canada before Jan 1, 2027?
52%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$51 vol
Bid 47¢ · Ask 57¢
- Before Nov 1, 2026
Will Trump order lower tariffs on Canada before Nov 1, 2026?
19%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$101 vol
Bid 16¢ · Ask 21¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If Donald Trump has taken any presidential action reducing, removing, or suspending an existing tariff on imports from Canada, with a specified effective date, through a new policy decision officially announced by Donald Trump after Issuance and before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.