Selected outcome
Before Jan 1, 2027
wide spread 5–97%
70%
Before Jan 1, 2027 · 70%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- The White House (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Before Apr 1, 2027
Will Trump order new or increased tariffs on Canada before Apr 1, 2027?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 99¢
- Before Dec 1, 2026
Will Trump order new or increased tariffs on Canada before Dec 1, 2026?
57%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$294 vol
last
Ask 94¢
- Before Jan 1, 2027
Will Trump order new or increased tariffs on Canada before Jan 1, 2027?
70%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$291 vol
wide spread 5–97%
Bid 5¢ · Ask 97¢
- Before Nov 1, 2026
Will Trump order new or increased tariffs on Canada before Nov 1, 2026?
29%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$685 vol
wide spread 11–82%
Bid 11¢ · Ask 82¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If Donald Trump has taken any presidential action imposing a new tariff or increasing an existing tariff on imports from Canada, with a specified effective date, through a new policy decision officially announced by Donald Trump after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.