Selected outcome
Before 2028
wide spread 2–99%
Before 2028
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Jan 1, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- White House (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Before 2028
Will Trump try to leave the USMCA before 2028?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 2–99%
Bid 2¢ · Ask 99¢
- Before 2029
Will Trump try to leave the USMCA before 2029?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 2–99%
Bid 2¢ · Ask 99¢
- Before 2027
Will Trump try to leave the USMCA before 2027?
14%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3,044 vol
Bid 12¢ · Ask 15¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Jan 1, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the United States submits a notice of withdrawal from the USMCA before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.