Selected outcome
5.04% or above
wide spread 76–90%
5.04% or above
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 23, 3:30 PM ET
- Resolution source
- U.S. Department of the Treasury (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- 5.1% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.09% on Oct 23, 2026?
67%
Open · ~$262 24h · ~$263 vol
wide spread 55–67%
Bid 55¢ · Ask 67¢
- 5.12% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.11% on Oct 23, 2026?
53%
Open · ~$74 24h · ~$75 vol
Bid 51¢ · Ask 55¢
- 5.14% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.13% on Oct 23, 2026?
42%
Open · ~$49 24h · ~$63 vol
Bid 39¢ · Ask 45¢
- 5.06% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.05% on Oct 23, 2026?
83%
Open · ~$4 24h · ~$14 vol
wide spread 72–85%
Bid 72¢ · Ask 85¢
- 5.2% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.19% on Oct 23, 2026?
18%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$19 vol
wide spread 9–25%
Bid 9¢ · Ask 25¢
- 4.96% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.95% on Oct 23, 2026?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$89 vol
Bid 90¢ · Ask 99¢
- 4.98% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.97% on Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 86¢
- 5% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.99% on Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 84¢
- 5.02% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.01% on Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$148 vol
wide spread 81–95%
Bid 81¢ · Ask 95¢
- 5.04% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.03% on Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 76–90%
Bid 76¢ · Ask 90¢
- 5.08% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.07% on Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$57 vol
wide spread 65–77%
Bid 65¢ · Ask 77¢
- 5.16% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.15% on Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 28–39%
Bid 28¢ · Ask 39¢
- 5.18% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.17% on Oct 23, 2026?
21%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$14 vol
Bid 16¢ · Ask 26¢
- 5.22% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.21% on Oct 23, 2026?
18%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$18 vol
wide spread 9–21%
Bid 9¢ · Ask 21¢
- 5.24% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.23% on Oct 23, 2026?
10%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$6 vol
Bid 5¢ · Ask 14¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 23, 3:30 PM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.03% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.