Selected outcome
5.25% or above
last
1%
5.25% or above · 1%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 3:30 PM ET
- Resolution source
- U.S. Department of the Treasury (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- 5.01% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.00% on Oct 21, 2026?
99%
Open · ~$3,790 24h · ~$3,790 vol
last
Bid 98¢
- 5.03% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.02% on Oct 21, 2026?
99%
Open · ~$3,066 24h · ~$3,066 vol
last
Bid 99¢
- 5.09% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.08% on Oct 21, 2026?
88%
Open · ~$2,283 24h · ~$2,283 vol
Bid 86¢ · Ask 90¢
- 5.11% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.10% on Oct 21, 2026?
67%
Open · ~$2,191 24h · ~$2,191 vol
wide spread 49–67%
Bid 49¢ · Ask 67¢
- 5.07% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.06% on Oct 21, 2026?
98%
Open · ~$1,876 24h · ~$1,876 vol
Bid 97¢ · Ask 99¢
- 5.05% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.04% on Oct 21, 2026?
99%
Open · ~$1,160 24h · ~$1,160 vol
Bid 98¢ · Ask 99¢
- 5.13% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.12% on Oct 21, 2026?
20%
Open · ~$710 24h · ~$710 vol
Bid 16¢ · Ask 24¢
- 5.15% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.14% on Oct 21, 2026?
2%
Open · ~$121 24h · ~$121 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 3¢
- 5.27% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.26% on Oct 21, 2026?
1%
Open · ~$53 24h · ~$53 vol
last
Ask 1¢
- 5.17% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.16% on Oct 21, 2026?
3%
Open · ~$41 24h · ~$41 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 3¢
- 5.29% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.28% on Oct 21, 2026?
1%
Open · ~$36 24h · ~$36 vol
last
Ask 1¢
- 5.21% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.20% on Oct 21, 2026?
1%
Open · ~$25 24h · ~$25 vol
last
Ask 2¢
- 5.19% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.18% on Oct 21, 2026?
2%
Open · ~$16 24h · ~$16 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢
- 5.23% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.22% on Oct 21, 2026?
1%
Open · ~$16 24h · ~$16 vol
last
Ask 2¢
- 5.25% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.24% on Oct 21, 2026?
1%
Open · ~$13 24h · ~$13 vol
last
Ask 1¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 3:30 PM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.24% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.