Selected outcome
5.02% or above
wide spread 67–81%
5.02% or above
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 30, 3:30 PM ET
- Resolution source
- U.S. Department of the Treasury (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- 5% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.99% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$109 24h · ~$438 vol
wide spread 71–83%
Bid 71¢ · Ask 83¢
- 5.1% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.09% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$24 24h · ~$33 vol
wide spread 48–60%
Bid 48¢ · Ask 60¢
- 4.96% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.95% on Oct 30, 2026?
90%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$153 vol
wide spread 77–91%
Bid 77¢ · Ask 91¢
- 4.98% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.97% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$114 vol
wide spread 74–89%
Bid 74¢ · Ask 89¢
- 5.02% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.01% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$593 vol
wide spread 67–81%
Bid 67¢ · Ask 81¢
- 5.04% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.03% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$53 vol
wide spread 62–77%
Bid 62¢ · Ask 77¢
- 5.06% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.05% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 56–72%
Bid 56¢ · Ask 72¢
- 5.08% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.07% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$27 vol
wide spread 52–66%
Bid 52¢ · Ask 66¢
- 5.12% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.11% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol
wide spread 42–54%
Bid 42¢ · Ask 54¢
- 5.14% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.13% on Oct 30, 2026?
45%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$34 vol
wide spread 37–50%
Bid 37¢ · Ask 50¢
- 5.46% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.45% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$12 vol
Ask 5¢
- 5.48% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.47% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 5¢
- 5.5% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.49% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 4¢
- 5.52% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.51% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 3¢
- 5.54% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.53% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 2¢
- 5.56% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.55% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 3¢
- 5.58% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.57% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 2¢
- 5.6% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.59% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 2¢
- 5.62% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.61% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5 vol
Ask 2¢
- 5.64% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.63% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 1¢
- 5.16% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.15% on Oct 30, 2026?
38%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$430 vol
wide spread 37–51%
Bid 37¢ · Ask 51¢
- 5.18% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.17% on Oct 30, 2026?
44%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$431 vol
wide spread 32–45%
Bid 32¢ · Ask 45¢
- 5.2% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.19% on Oct 30, 2026?
30%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$219 vol
wide spread 21–35%
Bid 21¢ · Ask 35¢
- 5.22% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.21% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$134 vol
wide spread 14–31%
Bid 14¢ · Ask 31¢
- 5.24% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.23% on Oct 30, 2026?
18%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$91 vol
Bid 13¢ · Ask 23¢
- 5.26% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.25% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$203 vol
wide spread 9–25%
Bid 9¢ · Ask 25¢
- 5.28% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.27% on Oct 30, 2026?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$355 vol
wide spread 4–16%
Bid 4¢ · Ask 16¢
- 5.3% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.29% on Oct 30, 2026?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$217 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 12¢
- 5.32% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.31% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$681 vol
Ask 14¢
- 5.34% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.33% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$630 vol
Ask 14¢
- 5.36% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.35% on Oct 30, 2026?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$71 vol
last
Ask 13¢
- 5.38% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.37% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$334 vol
wide spread 1–12%
Bid 1¢ · Ask 12¢
- 5.4% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.39% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$89 vol
Ask 5¢
- 5.42% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.41% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$72 vol
Ask 4¢
- 5.44% or above
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.43% on Oct 30, 2026?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$14 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 3¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 30, 3:30 PM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.01% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.