Selected outcome
4.85% or above
wide spread 22–37%
4.85% or above
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 23, 3:30 PM ET
- Resolution source
- U.S. Department of the Treasury (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- 4.71% or above
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.70% on Oct 23, 2026?
82%
Open · ~$12 24h · ~$12 vol
wide spread 74–92%
Bid 74¢ · Ask 92¢
- 4.85% or above
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.84% on Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$6 vol
wide spread 22–37%
Bid 22¢ · Ask 37¢
- 4.61% or above
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.60% on Oct 23, 2026?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$95 vol
last
Bid 92¢
- 4.63% or above
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.62% on Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 90¢
- 4.65% or above
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.64% on Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 87¢
- 4.67% or above
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.66% on Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 84¢
- 4.69% or above
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.68% on Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 79–95%
Bid 79¢ · Ask 95¢
- 4.73% or above
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.72% on Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 66–86%
Bid 66¢ · Ask 86¢
- 4.75% or above
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.74% on Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 61–78%
Bid 61¢ · Ask 78¢
- 4.77% or above
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.76% on Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 53–71%
Bid 53¢ · Ask 71¢
- 4.79% or above
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.78% on Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 46–63%
Bid 46¢ · Ask 63¢
- 4.81% or above
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.80% on Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 37–52%
Bid 37¢ · Ask 52¢
- 4.83% or above
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.82% on Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 29–45%
Bid 29¢ · Ask 45¢
- 4.87% or above
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.86% on Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 14–31%
Bid 14¢ · Ask 31¢
- 4.89% or above
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.88% on Oct 23, 2026?
13%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$13 vol
wide spread 8–25%
Bid 8¢ · Ask 25¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 23, 3:30 PM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.84% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.