Selected outcome
4.71% or above
99%
4.71% or above · 99%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 3:30 PM ET
- Resolution source
- U.S. Department of the Treasury (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- 4.67% or above
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.66% on Oct 21, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$4,310 24h · ~$4,310 vol
Bid 96¢
- 4.63% or above
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.62% on Oct 21, 2026?
99%
Open · ~$873 24h · ~$873 vol
last
Bid 96¢
- 4.79% or above
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.78% on Oct 21, 2026?
75%
Open · ~$580 24h · ~$580 vol
Bid 71¢ · Ask 78¢
- 4.65% or above
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.64% on Oct 21, 2026?
99%
Open · ~$579 24h · ~$579 vol
last
Bid 99¢
- 4.61% or above
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.60% on Oct 21, 2026?
99%
Open · ~$579 24h · ~$579 vol
last
Bid 99¢
- 4.69% or above
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.68% on Oct 21, 2026?
99%
Open · ~$478 24h · ~$478 vol
last
Bid 99¢
- 4.81% or above
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.80% on Oct 21, 2026?
35%
Open · ~$80 24h · ~$80 vol
wide spread 26–39%
Bid 26¢ · Ask 39¢
- 4.77% or above
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.76% on Oct 21, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$59 24h · ~$59 vol
wide spread 84–97%
Bid 84¢ · Ask 97¢
- 4.85% or above
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.84% on Oct 21, 2026?
3%
Open · ~$12 24h · ~$12 vol
last
Ask 3¢
- 4.75% or above
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.74% on Oct 21, 2026?
98%
Open · ~$9 24h · ~$9 vol
Bid 97¢ · Ask 99¢
- 4.87% or above
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.86% on Oct 21, 2026?
1%
Open · ~$9 24h · ~$9 vol
last
Ask 2¢
- 4.71% or above
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.70% on Oct 21, 2026?
99%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 98¢ · Ask 99¢
- 4.73% or above
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.72% on Oct 21, 2026?
99%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 98¢ · Ask 99¢
- 4.83% or above
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.82% on Oct 21, 2026?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 9¢
- 4.89% or above
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.88% on Oct 21, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 1¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 3:30 PM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.70% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.