Selected outcome
4.78% or above
wide spread 42–66%
4.78% or above
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 30, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- U.S. Department of the Treasury (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- 4.76% or above
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.75% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$16 vol
wide spread 47–71%
Bid 47¢ · Ask 71¢
- 4.78% or above
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.77% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 42–66%
Bid 42¢ · Ask 66¢
- 4.8% or above
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.79% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 36–60%
Bid 36¢ · Ask 60¢
- 4.82% or above
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.81% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
wide spread 30–54%
Bid 30¢ · Ask 54¢
- 4.84% or above
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.83% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$153 vol
wide spread 25–50%
Bid 25¢ · Ask 50¢
- 4.86% or above
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.85% on Oct 30, 2026?
31%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$107 vol
wide spread 21–46%
Bid 21¢ · Ask 46¢
- 4.88% or above
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.87% on Oct 30, 2026?
40%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$358 vol
wide spread 18–43%
Bid 18¢ · Ask 43¢
- 4.9% or above
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.89% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 13–39%
Bid 13¢ · Ask 39¢
- 4.92% or above
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.91% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 10–35%
Bid 10¢ · Ask 35¢
- 4.94% or above
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.93% on Oct 30, 2026?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$21 vol
wide spread 5–29%
Bid 5¢ · Ask 29¢
- 4.96% or above
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.95% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 6–28%
Bid 6¢ · Ask 28¢
- 4.98% or above
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.97% on Oct 30, 2026?
22%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$44 vol
wide spread 5–25%
Bid 5¢ · Ask 25¢
- 5% or above
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.99% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 4–23%
Bid 4¢ · Ask 23¢
- 5.02% or above
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.01% on Oct 30, 2026?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$63 vol
last
Ask 17¢
- 5.04% or above
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.03% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 18¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 30, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.77% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.