Selected outcome
5.41% or above
wide spread 47–61%
5.41% or above
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 23, 3:30 PM ET
- Resolution source
- U.S. Department of the Treasury (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- 5.31% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.30% on Oct 23, 2026?
90%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$90 vol
wide spread 85–98%
Bid 85¢ · Ask 98¢
- 5.33% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.32% on Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 81–94%
Bid 81¢ · Ask 94¢
- 5.35% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.34% on Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 75–91%
Bid 75¢ · Ask 91¢
- 5.37% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.36% on Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 67–84%
Bid 67¢ · Ask 84¢
- 5.39% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.38% on Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 58–73%
Bid 58¢ · Ask 73¢
- 5.41% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.40% on Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 47–61%
Bid 47¢ · Ask 61¢
- 5.43% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.42% on Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 36–50%
Bid 36¢ · Ask 50¢
- 5.45% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.44% on Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 26–41%
Bid 26¢ · Ask 41¢
- 5.47% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.46% on Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 19–33%
Bid 19¢ · Ask 33¢
- 5.49% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.48% on Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$36 vol
wide spread 7–26%
Bid 7¢ · Ask 26¢
- 5.51% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.50% on Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$6 vol
Ask 19¢
- 5.53% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.52% on Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 14¢
- 5.55% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.54% on Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 10¢
- 5.57% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.56% on Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 8¢
- 5.59% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.58% on Oct 23, 2026?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$6 vol
last
Ask 6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 23, 3:30 PM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.40% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.