Selected outcome
5.5% or above
last
1%
5.5% or above · 1%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 3:30 PM ET
- Resolution source
- U.S. Department of the Treasury (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- 5.42% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.41% on Oct 21, 2026?
39%
Open · ~$328 24h · ~$328 vol
Bid 35¢ · Ask 43¢
- 5.38% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.37% on Oct 21, 2026?
89%
Open · ~$178 24h · ~$178 vol
wide spread 86–99%
Bid 86¢ · Ask 99¢
- 5.4% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.39% on Oct 21, 2026?
73%
Open · ~$165 24h · ~$165 vol
wide spread 72–85%
Bid 72¢ · Ask 85¢
- 5.36% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.35% on Oct 21, 2026?
97%
Open · ~$103 24h · ~$103 vol
Bid 94¢ · Ask 99¢
- 5.46% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.45% on Oct 21, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$36 24h · ~$36 vol
Ask 5¢
- 5.44% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.43% on Oct 21, 2026?
11%
Open · ~$23 24h · ~$23 vol
wide spread 8–21%
Bid 8¢ · Ask 21¢
- 5.48% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.47% on Oct 21, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$11 24h · ~$11 vol
Ask 2¢
- 5.5% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.49% on Oct 21, 2026?
1%
Open · ~$2 24h · ~$2 vol
last
Ask 1¢
- 5.64% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.63% on Oct 21, 2026?
1%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
last
Ask 1¢
- 5.52% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.51% on Oct 21, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 2¢
- 5.54% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.53% on Oct 21, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 2¢
- 5.56% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.55% on Oct 21, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 2¢
- 5.58% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.57% on Oct 21, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 1¢
- 5.6% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.59% on Oct 21, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 1¢
- 5.62% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.61% on Oct 21, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 1¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 3:30 PM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.49% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.