Selected outcome
5.83% or above
5.83% or above
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 30, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- U.S. Department of the Treasury (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- 5.71% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.70% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$8 24h · ~$32 vol
Ask 6¢
- 5.31% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.30% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 71–87%
Bid 71¢ · Ask 87¢
- 5.33% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.32% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$84 vol
wide spread 66–83%
Bid 66¢ · Ask 83¢
- 5.35% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.34% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 60–78%
Bid 60¢ · Ask 78¢
- 5.37% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.36% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 54–72%
Bid 54¢ · Ask 72¢
- 5.39% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.38% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 48–65%
Bid 48¢ · Ask 65¢
- 5.41% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.40% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 42–58%
Bid 42¢ · Ask 58¢
- 5.43% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.42% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 35–51%
Bid 35¢ · Ask 51¢
- 5.45% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.44% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 29–46%
Bid 29¢ · Ask 46¢
- 5.47% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.46% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 24–42%
Bid 24¢ · Ask 42¢
- 5.49% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.48% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$39 vol
wide spread 19–37%
Bid 19¢ · Ask 37¢
- 5.81% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.80% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$18 vol
Ask 3¢
- 5.83% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.82% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 3¢
- 5.85% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.84% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$8 vol
Ask 2¢
- 5.87% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.86% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 2¢
- 5.89% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.88% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 2¢
- 5.91% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.90% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 1¢
- 5.93% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.92% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 1¢
- 5.95% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.94% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 1¢
- 5.97% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.96% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 1¢
- 5.99% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.98% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 1¢
- 5.51% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.50% on Oct 30, 2026?
19%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$72 vol
wide spread 15–32%
Bid 15¢ · Ask 32¢
- 5.53% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.52% on Oct 30, 2026?
15%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$61 vol
wide spread 11–26%
Bid 11¢ · Ask 26¢
- 5.55% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.54% on Oct 30, 2026?
20%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$42 vol
wide spread 5–24%
Bid 5¢ · Ask 24¢
- 5.57% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.56% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$80 vol
wide spread 5–21%
Bid 5¢ · Ask 21¢
- 5.59% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.58% on Oct 30, 2026?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$36 vol
last
Ask 18¢
- 5.61% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.60% on Oct 30, 2026?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$42 vol
last
Ask 17¢
- 5.63% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.62% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$107 vol
Ask 15¢
- 5.65% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.64% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$154 vol
Ask 12¢
- 5.67% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.66% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$154 vol
Ask 10¢
- 5.69% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.68% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$25 vol
Ask 8¢
- 5.73% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.72% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$29 vol
Ask 6¢
- 5.75% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.74% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$8 vol
Ask 4¢
- 5.77% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.76% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$16 vol
Ask 4¢
- 5.79% or above
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.78% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$311 vol
Ask 1¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 30, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.82% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.