Selected outcome
4.96% or above
wide spread 31–49%
4.96% or above
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 23, 3:30 PM ET
- Resolution source
- U.S. Department of the Treasury (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- 4.86% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.85% on Oct 23, 2026?
84%
Open · ~$4 24h · ~$4 vol
wide spread 73–88%
Bid 73¢ · Ask 88¢
- 5.04% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.03% on Oct 23, 2026?
14%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$13 vol
Bid 9¢ · Ask 18¢
- 4.76% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.75% on Oct 23, 2026?
93%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$93 vol
last
Bid 93¢
- 4.78% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.77% on Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 91¢
- 4.8% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.79% on Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 88¢
- 4.82% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.81% on Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 82¢
- 4.84% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.83% on Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 78–95%
Bid 78¢ · Ask 95¢
- 4.88% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.87% on Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 67–87%
Bid 67¢ · Ask 87¢
- 4.9% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.89% on Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$73 vol
wide spread 59–79%
Bid 59¢ · Ask 79¢
- 4.92% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.91% on Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 50–69%
Bid 50¢ · Ask 69¢
- 4.94% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.93% on Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 43–59%
Bid 43¢ · Ask 59¢
- 4.96% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.95% on Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 31–49%
Bid 31¢ · Ask 49¢
- 4.98% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.97% on Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 23–42%
Bid 23¢ · Ask 42¢
- 5% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.99% on Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 16–34%
Bid 16¢ · Ask 34¢
- 5.02% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.01% on Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 8–27%
Bid 8¢ · Ask 27¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 23, 3:30 PM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.95% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.